2024年第15讲总第828讲 （ADRI Seminar Series）

题目：Changes in births and fertility in China since the implementation of the Universal Two-child policy and Three-child policy: the timing, level and patterns（全面二孩、三孩政策实施以来中国出生率和生育率的变化：时机、水平和格局）

地点：社会学院516

时间：2024年4月29日14:00-16:30

主讲人：Cuiling Zhang is a senior research fellow at China Population and Development Research Center. She is the Member of the IUSSP Panel "COVID-19, Fertility, and the Family" and and the council member of the China Population Association as well as a member of European Association for Population Studies(EAPS) and Population Association of America(PAA). She was also a visiting scholar at the Vienna Institute of Demography and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in 2017 and 2019. She holds a Ph.D. in social demography. Her research focuses on family change, gender equity and fertility, population development, and policy evaluation in China. She served as the PI/co-PI for annual projects for the National Social Science Foundation and the PI both of national and provincial Seventh National Population Census projects.

张翠玲，中国人口与发展研究中心高级研究员。 她是IUSSP“COVID-19、生育力和家庭”专家组成员、中国人口协会理事会成员、欧洲人口研究协会（EAPS）和美国人口协会（PAA）成员 ）。 她还于2017年和2019年担任维也纳人口研究所和马克斯·普朗克人口研究所的访问学者。 在社会人口学中。 她的研究重点是中国的家庭变化、性别平等和生育、人口发展和政策评估。 担任国家社科基金年度项目负责人/共同负责人，国家和省第七次全国人口普查项目负责人。

内容简介：Since 2016, the Universal Two-child policy and the Universal Three-child policy have been gradually come into practice. Between is the three years pandemic, which affects greatly external impact on economic and social life. On the national level, the fertility fluctuation has further intensified during this period. However, due to the data accessibility, the study on the fertility transition on provincial level is quite limited and delayed. This talk set itself within the new population policy scenarios and external pandemic period and will convey the observation and the analysis results regarding to birth number, birth timing and the recent fertility trends both from national and provincial level, based on and the national birth registration data and the 2020 population Census of China. As well, the speaker will demonstrate the impact of the pandemic on the birth change across period.

2016年以来，全面二孩政策、全面三孩政策逐步实施。 其间正值三年大流行，外部对经济社会生活的影响较大。 从全国层面来看，这一时期生育率波动进一步加剧。 然而，由于数据的可获取性，对省级生育率转变的研究相当有限且滞后。 本次讲座以新的人口政策情景和外部疫情期间为背景，结合全国出生登记数据，传达全国和省级的出生人数、出生时间以及近期生育趋势的观察和分析结果。 以及2020年中国人口普查。 此外，本次讲座还将展示疫情对不同时期出生变化的影响。